Lưu trữ cho từ khóa: Ethereum ETF

Ethereum price faces a major supply wall at $3.5k

On-chain data suggests that Ethereum faces substantial resistance at the $3,500 price level as the price retreats from the threshold.

IntoTheBlock shared details on Monday that show the above price point continues to prove tough for Ethereum (ETH) bulls since July 16.

At the time of writing, ETH is hovering around $3,448 and has slipped 1.8% in the past 24 hours, retreating from intraday highs above $3,560. But why is the $3,500 to $3,600 price level likely to be a major supply wall for Ethereum?

Per IntoTheBlock, the main factor aiding bears around this zone is the 3.13 million Ethereum addresses that purchased the coins. In total, these addresses snapped more than 1.56 million ETH at prices at the average price purchase price of $3,547.

ETH addresses in loss could sell

While the overall sentiment is bullish for crypto, the potential that addresses acquired coins at or above the $3,500 level may fancy break-even or profitable trades.

“These addresses are holding at a loss, adding to the selling pressure and making it difficult for ETH to break through this key level,” analysts at the on-chain data and market intelligence platform said.

Also notable is that 84% of ETH holders are currently profitable, with about 5% at the money and only 11% out of the money. However, positive sentiment is still tinged with a bearish signal from the derivatives market, where the futures momentum gauge reads bearish with a value of -0.5.

Ethereum spot ETFs could be a factor

Despite Ethereum’s price struggling at the current level, the market is more bullish as it awaits the debut of spot ETH ETFs.

After issuers filed final S-1 registration statements last week, including details such as fees, the trading debut will be this week. Experts have pointed to a potential launch on July 23.

Recently, analyst Rekt Capital noted a macro bull flag for Ethereum, highlighting that this pattern indicates trend continuation. This means the $4,000 threshold may not be out of reach for bulls much longer.

Crypto analyst Moon Carl pointed to a bullish inverse head-and-shoulder pattern on July 21. If this pattern plays out, the analyst believes ETH can target $4,300 in the short term.

On the downside, the immediate support level is around the $3,449 to $3,390 range.

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Theo Crypto News

Solana price steady as Franklin Templeton eyes spot ETF

Solana price rose slightly on Wednesday as hopes of a spot ETF rose after Ethereum’s approvals this week.

Solana (SOL), the fifth-biggest cryptocurrency, rose slightly to $176, a few points below its highest point this week.

Franklin Templeton is interested in Solana ETF

Crypto analysts believe that Solana, due to its role in the crypto industry, fits the bill for the next cryptocurrency to have its spot ETF.

It is a large coin with a market cap of over $82 billion and is highly liquid, with an average daily volume of $2.9 billion. 

Like Ethereum (ETH), it has substantial utility in the crypto industry. For example, it has become the most popular blockchain among meme coin developers. Its decentralized exchanges handle billions in monthly assets, and Hamilton Lane has selected it for its tokenized fund.

Additionally, some of the most popular players in the decentralized public infrastructure (DePIN) industry, such as Helium and Hivemapper, run on Solana.

VanEck was the first financial services company to apply for a spot Solana ETF a few months ago. Franklin Templeton, a company with over $1.5 trillion in assets, has hinted that it will apply for Solana and more ETFs soon. 

Other companies like Bitwise, Blackrock, and Invesco could also file for a Solana ETF approval too.

Besides, the industry is bringing millions of dollars to these companies. For example, with over $22 billion in assets, Blackrock’s Bitcoin (BTC) ETF could bring in over $55 million in annual revenue since it has a 0.25% expense ratio.

Solana price formed a bullish pattern

Solana price chart | source: crypto.news

Technically, Solana is hovering near the key resistance point at $188.8, its highest swing on May 21st. It also found a strong bottom at $121.48, where it struggled to move below in April, May, June, and July.

Additionally, the token sits above the 50-day moving average, meaning that bulls are in control. It has also formed a cup and handle pattern, a popular continuation sign. Therefore, a beak above the resistance at $188.88 will point to more upside, with the next point to watch being the YTD high of $210.

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Is the ETH ETF launch a ‘sell the news’ scenario?

Spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds are set to debut on July 23, following the SEC’s rule change over two months ago.

According to a report by Kaiko, the initial inflows to these ETFs will most likely affect Ethereum’s (ETH) price. However, whether the effect will be positive or negative is still up for grabs.

“The launch of the futures based ETH ETFs in the US late last year was met with underwhelming demand, all eyes are on the spot ETFs’ launch with high hopes on quick asset accumulation. Although a full demand picture may not emerge for several months, ETH price could be sensitive to inflow numbers of the first days.”

Will Cai, head of indices at Kaiko

Several Ethereum ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, VanEck, 21Shares, Invesco, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale are scheduled to start trading on July 23. 

The influx of money could cause ETH to surge even though last year, futures-based ETH ETFs received a lukewarm reception. There is cautious optimism about spot ETFs’ asset accumulation and how it could reflect the price of ETH.

ETH prices briefly spiked in May following spot ETF approval but have since trended lower. At $3,500, ETH is facing a crucial supply wall

Grayscale’s ETH ETF fees

Grayscale, a prominent crypto player, plans to convert its ETHE trust into a spot ETF and introduce a mini trust seeded with $1 billion from the original fund. Grayscale’s ETHE fee will remain 2.5%, much higher than its competitors. 

Most issuers will offer fee waivers to attract investors, with some waiving fees for six months to a year or until assets reach between $500 million and $2.5 billion. This fee war reflects the fierce competition in the ETF market, leading ARK Invest to exit the ETH ETF race.

This echoes Grayscale’s Bitcoin (BTC) ETF strategy, where they maintained high fees despite competitive pressures and sell-offs.

Source: Kaiko

According to Kaiko, Grayscale’s decision to keep its fees high might lead to ETF outflows, leading to sell-off prices, similar to the post-conversion performance of its GBTC

The ETHE discount to net asset value has recently narrowed, indicating traders’ interest in buying ETHE below par to redeem at net asset value post-conversion for profits.

ETH ETF volatility 

Additionally, implied volatility for ETH has surged over the past few weeks due to a failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump and President Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t run for president again. This reflects traders’ nervousness about the upcoming ETF launch.

According to Kaiko, contracts expiring in late July experienced a rise in volatility from 59% to 67%, indicating the market’s anticipation and potential price sensitivity to initial inflow numbers.

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Theo Crypto News

Alluvial CEO: Ethereum ETF inflows could surpass $20b

Investors’ eyes are fixed on spot Ethereum ETFs and how products could perform in the opening months after Bitcoin funds were hugely successful.

On Tuesday, the first nine U.S. spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs opened for trading on national exchanges following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) final greenlight. Wall Street players and retail investors can now access exposure to crypto’s second-largest decentralized token, ETH, via a regulated institutional wrapper. 

According to Bloomberg’s James Seyffart, the funds debuted with nearly $10.3 billion in assets under management (AUM). Most of that money is domiciled in two Grayscale products, one of which is the long-standing Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE). 

As titans like BlackRock, Fidelity, and VanEck jockey for dominance in the spot ETH ETF market, Alluvial CEO and co-founder Mara Schmiedt told crypto.news to anticipate over “$20 billion in the initial months post-launch”. 

Capital flocking into spot Ethereum products will also likely catapult ETH’s price well above its previous peak of $4,878. As of writing, Ether changed hands for $3,400, about 28% below its all-time high (ATH). 

Schmiedt stated, “With roughly 38% of the current ETH supply locked in staking, bridges, and DeFi, and another 10% sitting on retail exchanges, ETF-driven ETH inflows could have a significant upward price impact.”

ETH daily price chart | Source: crypto.news

Alluvial’s CEO predicted that the forthcoming supply shock caused by Ether ETF buying, coupled with spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETF success and growing demand for cryptocurrencies, paints a stronger bull thesis for the rest of this cycle. 

Staking was noticeably absent from trading spot Ethereum ETFs, but Schmiedt believes the development may present opportunities rather than problems. 

“An interesting and important difference between BTC and ETH is that staking on Ethereum introduces a native rate of return, currently around 3.3%, that may prove compelling to investors seeking fixed income-like alternatives to equities, enabling portfolio diversification and inflation hedging,” Schmiedt explained to crypto.news in a private note. 

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Theo Crypto News

Ethereum ETFs get final approval, trading to start Tuesday

The U.S. SEC has granted the final go-ahead for the first spot ETH ETFs in the United States. Trading is set to begin tomorrow, July 23. 

Today, July 22, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission accepted the securities filings of several spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds, clearing them for trading starting on Tuesday, as scheduled.

The SEC approved ETH ETF products from a total of eight issuers, including asset management giants Fidelity, Blackrock and VanEck, as well as 21Shares, Bitwise and others. 

The SEC first approved applications for the above ETH ETFs at the end of May, but firms were still waiting for their S-1 filings — the registration of new securities — to be approved in order for trading to officially start. Last week, the SEC informed issuers that they would need to finalize their S-1 documents by July 17 in order to receive approval for trading to start on July 23. 

How will the price of ETH react? 

A report from Kaiko Research published today suggested that the outlook for the price of ETH after the spot ETFs launch is unclear. The firm noted that when futures-based ETH ETFs launched last year, the demand was “underwhelming.”

The price of ETH has dropped about 2.5% over the past 24 hours, currently trading near $3,400. Earlier today, analysts from IntoTheBlock noted that the Ethereum price faces critical resistance around $3,500 levels.

30-minute ETH price chart, July 15-22, 2024 | Source: crypto.news

In general, as with spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs, analysts — and the industry more broadly — see the launch of a spot ETF product as a bullish sign for wider adoption. Since ETFs are traded on traditional exchanges via brokerage accounts, a wider swathe of more traditional investors now have access to the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap via a vehicle that they are already comfortable trading. 

First Bitcoin, now Ethereum

Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved for trading in the U.S. in January and, since then, have seen record inflows. Since the launch of spot BTC ETF trading, the price of Bitcoin has increased almost 50%, currently trading near $67,700.

4-hour BTC price chart, Janurary 8 – July 22, 2024 | Source: crypto.news

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Theo Crypto News

Bitwise pledges to donate 10% of Ethereum ETF

Bitwise Asset Management said it will allocate 10% of profits from its spot Ethereum ETF toward supporting Ethereum open-source development.

Bitwise, a crypto index fund manager, said in a press release on Monday it would donate some of the profits from its spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) to Ethereum developers in a bid to support open-source development.

In the announcement, the Chicago-headquartered firm said it will send 10% of profits of the Bitwise Ethereum ETF to two organizations: Protocol Guild, a funding organization, and PBS Foundation, a non-profit research entity. The asset manager says the donations “have no strings attached” and will be made annually “for at least the next 10 years.”

Bitwise CTO Hong Kim says the firm wants to provide an additional source of funding for “unsung heroes who work tirelessly to improve the Ethereum network’s security, scalability, and usability every day.” In addition to Ethereum, Bitwise earlier also pledged to donate 10% of profits from its spot Bitcoin ETF to Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund.

The announcement comes as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) signed off on spot Ethereum ETF applications from Bitwise Asset Management, BlackRock, and 21Shares among others, paving the way for broader institutional adoption and increased investor access to Ethereum.

As crypto.news reported earlier, the SEC first approved applications for spot Ethereum ETFs at the end of May. However, firms were still awaiting approval for their S-1 filings before trading could officially begin.

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Theo Crypto News

ETH exchange inflow increased 116% ahead of spot ETF launch

Ethereum has seen increased exchange activity as investors wait for the spot exchange-traded funds to start trading in the United States.

According to data provided by Santiment, the amount of Ethereum (ETH) flowing into centralized and decentralized exchanges rallied by 116% in the past 24 hours — rising from 118,970 to 257,550 tokens.

ETH price, exchange activity, supply on exchanges and dormant circulation – July 23 | Source: Santiment

This movement is usually expected in bearish market conditions, but the approval of spot ETH ETFs has triggered a quite similar on-chain momentum since traders might be eying short-term profits.

Data from the market intelligence platform shows that the Ethereum exchange outflow also witnessed a 69% surge over the past day — rising from 121,460 to 205,460 tokens. While the outflow hints at an accumulation trend, the rallying inflows show potential short-term profit-taking.

Per data from Santiment, the total amount of ETH supply sitting on exchanges increased by 1.2 million coins over the past 30 days — rising from 18.41 million ETH on June 24 to 19.61 million ETH at the reporting time.

This was majorly due to the market-wide bearish momentum that brought the Ethereum price down from the $3,500 mark to around $2,800 in the first week of July.

On the other hand, long-term Ethereum holders stopped moving their assets after a busy Monday, July 22. According to Santiment, the five-year dormant ETH circulation plunged from 16,888 to 3,022 coins over the past day.

At this point, five-year ETH holders remain bullish on the second-largest cryptocurrency thanks to the spot ETH ETF green light from the U.S. SEC. Per the crypto.news report, the investment products are set to start trading today, July 23.

Ethereum is up by 1.3% in the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,530 at the time of writing. The asset’s market cap is sitting at $424.3 billion with a daily trading volume of $21.5 billion. 

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Theo Crypto News

Grayscale’s ETH ETF is superior Ethereum fund to BlackRock’s ETHA

The Securities and Exchange Commission has given the green light for spot Ethereum ETFs, which will start trading on Tuesday. 

SEC has approved spot Ethereum ETFs

It approved eight new ETH ETFs from companies like Grayscale, VanEck, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, and BlackRock. It also allowed the conversion of the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which has over $9.9 billion in assets, into a spot ETF. 

Therefore, many ETF investors will likely start researching the best ETF to buy for maximum returns. 

Like in Bitcoin, most investors will likely opt for the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) or the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH). BlackRock and Fidelity lead in Bitcoin ETF with over $22 billion and $12 billion in assets, respectively.

Grayscale’s ETH vs BlackRock’s ETHA

However, looking at the fee schedule, we see that the Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH) is a superior Ethereum ETF to BlackRock’s ETHA. 

These funds are similar to a large extent in that they are built to track the price of Ethereum and use the same custodian, Coinbase. 

However, the funds charge a different fee for what is essentially the same product. ETH will start with a free starting fee for six months and then increase to 0.15% after the waiver period.

BlackRock’s ETHA will start with a waiver fee of 0.12% and a post-waiver fee of 0.25%. Invesco’s QETH will not have a fee waiver period, while Fidelity’s FETH’s fee will increase to 0.25% in January.

A 0.25% expense ratio is relatively small, and most people will not feel it since a $100,000 investment will be charged $250 a year. A similar amount in Grayscale’s ETH will cost only $150. All factors constant, ETHA’s fees will be $2,500 in a decade while ETH’s will be $1,500.

Morningstar addressed the fee spread recently when it compared the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and the Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) ETFs. The two funds track the same index, but SPY has an expense ratio of 0.09%, while VOO charges 0.03%. The analyst wrote:

“VOO earns a top rating of Gold, while SPY earns the next best rating of Silver. The differences may be minimal, but there’s no reason to leave change on the table. VOO charges 0.03%, while SPY charges 0.09%. With all else equal, the fund with the lower fee is more aligned with investors’ best interests.”

As crypto.news has previously covered, a better deal for retail investors would be to consider the opportunity cost of buying an ETF or Ether itself. When buying Ether, once a transaction cost is paid, users can then earn staking rewards, which are currently at 3.50%. In this case, investing $100,000 in Ether yields $3,500 in a year and $35,000 in a decade.

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Theo Crypto News

Ethereum price could see sell-the-news retreat following ETF approval

Ethereum price was in a consolidation phase on Tuesday even as the Securities and Exchange Commission approved ETFs by companies like BlackRock, Invesco, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton.

The ETH token was trading at $3,500, where it has been stuck in the past few days after rising by 25% from its lowest point this month. 

SEC approves spot Ethereum ETFs

The SEC approved spot Ethereum ETFs this week and expects them to start trading on Tuesday. This is a big event for Ethereum and the ETF issuers since the SEC has often warned that it sees Ether as a security because of its staking features.

Some of the approved ETFs are ETH by Grayscale, EZET by Franklin Templeton, ETHV by VanEck, FETH by Fidelity, and ETHA by Blackrock. Most of these funds have a 0% starting fee, with Blackrock’s ETHA having a smaller 0.12% waiver. 

After that, Grayscale’s ETH will be the cheapest Ethereum ETF, with an expense ratio of 0.15%. The other cheaper funds will be EZET (0.19%), ETHV (0.20%), and ETHW (0.20%).

Buy the rumor, sell the news

In theory, Ethereum’s price should have risen after the news of such important ETFs. Besides, Bitcoin rose from below $40,000 in January when the SEC approved spot ETFs and reached a record high of $73,750.

However, there is also a risk that Ethereum will retreat since the ETF approval was in line with expectations. These expectations partly explain why Ether has risen by over 25% from its lowest point this year.

In price action analysis, this situation is known as ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’. It happens when an asset rises in anticipation of a big event and then falls when it happens. 

A good example of this is what happened in 2023 when the SEC partially lost its lawsuit against Ripple. The XRP token rose to $0.9325 that day and then slumped by 60% and bottomed at $0.3821 this month. 

Fortunately for Ethereum, it has formed a bullish flag chart pattern, which is often a sign of continuation. More upside will be confirmed if it rises above the upper side of the flag pattern at $3,570. 

Ethereum price has formed a bullish flag pattern

Ethereum also has some solid fundamentals. As Blackrock’s Jay Jacobs noted, the network has a real utility since it is the most popular blockchain network in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), metaverse, stablecoins, and non-fungible tokens (NFT). It has over $79 billion in stablecoins and has already collected over $1.8 billion in fees this year. 

Ethereum also has a long track record of beating Bitcoin. It has risen by 1,600% in the past five years, while Bitcoin has jumped by 600%.

Therefore, the same investors who have allocated cash in Bitcoin ETFs like Millenium Management, Susquehanna, and Apollo Global may decide to allocate some to these ETFs. All this is happening at a time when Ethereum balances in exchanges have dropped sharply this year.

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